nick257

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Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 51 total)
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  • in reply to: Odds on shots #24908
    nick257
    Keymaster

    Hi Kieran,

    Thanks for the question… the short answer is, it depends on the prediction models the system generates each night.

    At the moment the system is picking runners that are on average position 1.3 in the pre-race betting order. The number 1.3 means the sytem will heavily prefer favourites, but will occassionally go for a runner in position 2, or maybe position 3, in the betting order.

    At other times this year, the system has generated models that pick runners, further down the betting order. We have prevously seen models averaging position 3.5, which usually means the system has no idea what its doing! We tend to pause betting when these types of models appear.

    At this point in the season I can see from the model predictor weightings, that the system in preferring speed ratings, presumably because most horses have now had a few runs throughout the summer. Speed ratings are not reliable at every part of the year – their predictive strength, like all predictors, varies constantly.

    Hope that helps,

    Cheers
    Nick.

    • This reply was modified 3 years ago by nick257.
    nick257
    Keymaster

    There is something else you might like to include – is a check to see if we recommend betting at the present time. This is a new feature we are adding today:

    Model Status

    You can make a direct call to this URL to see our Betting Status:
    Our Betting Status

    or via CURL:

    GET https://tips.flat-racing.com/wp-json/wp/v2/pages?slug=our-betting-status

    nick257
    Keymaster

    Hi,

    Tips are published 30 seconds before a race start time. They remain on the server for 60 seconds after the start time.

    This list of races for each day is published here: Racing Schedule

    The Stop Loss mechanism is handled on our side. We simply stop publishing tips for a specific race course, or on a specific day when loss limits have been reached. You should bet immediately when a tip is retrieved, though we recommend submitting the bet for BSP (starting price). See Pre Race Prices versus BSP for the current pre-race prices compared to the starting Price.

    A tip will look like this in html:
    2020-09-02 15:30:00Al Daiha,2Al Daiha,3Al Daiha,4Al Daiha,5Al Daiha,6

    The format is: (race time), (Runner name),(prediction model number (1-6))

    Whereas when a course OR daily stop loss has been reached, you will see this message:
    2020-09-02 17:05:00,Daily Stop Loss triggered.

    You should keep polling our servers until the last race of each day, due to the way the Gen2 Stop Loss works, see Gen2 Stop Loss.

    Let me know if you need more guidance,

    Cheers
    Nick

    • This reply was modified 4 years, 1 month ago by nick257.
    • This reply was modified 4 years, 1 month ago by nick257.
    • This reply was modified 4 years, 1 month ago by nick257.
    • This reply was modified 4 years, 1 month ago by nick257.
    in reply to: Stop Loss Hit after 1 race #23889
    nick257
    Keymaster

    I’m changing some of the code today (in between races). When I restart the system, occasionally it throws a stop-loss message, when the SL is NOT activated.

    Apologies for confusion… it will carry on though.

    in reply to: Stop Loss Hit after 1 race #23886
    nick257
    Keymaster

    It’s fixed now – apologies…

    Should get tips for the 12:50 race onwards.

    Cheers
    Nick

    in reply to: sheet not placing bets? #23791
    nick257
    Keymaster

    As discussed, v2.09 fixes the bug introduced in v2.05.

    Thanks
    Nick

    in reply to: BetDAQ – runner names change of format #23679
    nick257
    Keymaster

    BetDAQ seemed to have fixed the problem, the runner names are back to the usual format.

    Issue resolved for the 13:15 hrs race at Uttoxeter.

    If you’re using BetDAQ, most likely you will have missed the first few tips of the day.

    Cheers
    Nick

    nick257
    Keymaster

    OK – great.

    Ping us on web-chat if you need further assistance,

    Cheers
    Nick

    nick257
    Keymaster

    HI,

    Which race is selected in Gruss (what time is the race)?

    Cheers
    Nick

    in reply to: cURL.exe #23646
    nick257
    Keymaster

    Hi Roman,

    Have a look in the “Service Status” forum, a new version of the spreadsheet has been released tonight, v2.02, it might help.

    If that doesn’t work, get me via webchat tomorrow..

    Cheers
    Nick

    in reply to: Limited number of bets recorded #23626
    nick257
    Keymaster

    hi Dan,

    saving results is a Gruss feature.

    you might get some joy by trying the Gruss forum

    cheers
    nick

    in reply to: Admin announcements by email #23601
    nick257
    Keymaster

    That’s a great idea…

    We’ll abandon the current method of “Service Status” messages (on the home page), and create a new forum, called “Service Status”.

    You can subscribe to any of the forums on this site (I guess you probably already know that!)

    thanks again,

    Cheers
    Nick

    in reply to: Help needed – VPS (Virtual PC’s) #23597
    nick257
    Keymaster

    Thanks Andrew – superb info there..

    We’ve run the system on several really old, 2008! spec, refurbished business laptops (from various sellers on eBay for around £150). Typical spec is Intel i5 (3rd generation), dual core, 8gb ram. Model HP 8470p or similar.

    I still use several of these laptops today, they were standard issue when I worked for HP, solid machines to this day. So a VPC of similar spec or higher should be fine.

    I’ll have a read of the link for “simplyhosting” when time permits – but thanks very much – hope others will contribute their experiences too.

    Cheers
    Nick

    in reply to: Daily stop loss #23583
    nick257
    Keymaster

    hi

    we manage the trailing and standard stop loss algorithms. They’re optimsed over several thousand bets.

    current trailing stop kicks in roughly between 15 and 22 points lost. but it does vary. the exact formula is proprietary.

    cheers
    nick

    • This reply was modified 4 years, 3 months ago by nick257.
    in reply to: Stake Size #23562
    nick257
    Keymaster

    Hi Paul,

    Generally models 1 and 4 slightly outperform the others (not much to choose between them).

    Good luck!

    Cheers
    Nick

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 51 total)